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Whenever Above Alliance Baseball’s lockout ends and the free-agent bazaar opens aback up, one of the hottest players accessible will be a slugger advancing off a division apparent by a 1.069 OPS and 38 home runs.
If these numbers don’t attending accustomed to MLB fans, it’s because Seiya Suzuki put them up in Japan.
Though the Hiroshima Carp originally posted Suzuki in November, Joel Sherman of the New York Post reported the alarm isn’t active on the slugger’s 30-day acceding window. It’s on abeyance until MLB’s lockout lifts aloft a new aggregate acceding acceding actuality reached.
When that happens, absorption in the 27-year-old about absolutely will not accept waned.
In the American Alliance East, the Boston Red Sox, New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays accept been amid the “most aggressive” pursuers of Suzuki, according to Sean McAdam of the Boston Sports Journal. He’s already had a agenda affair with the Seattle Mariners, on whom he larboard an impression:
Whoever ends up with Suzuki will accept to pay out a ample contract, added a tax of sorts by way of the announcement fee. It’s 20 percent of the aboriginal $25 million, again 17.5 percent of the abutting $25 actor and 15 percent of annihilation aloft $50 million. As such, the $55 actor accord that MLB Trade Rumors projected would bulk Suzuki’s signing aggregation an added $10.1 million.
Though not absolutely large, these are not baby dollar figures. So afore we get into area Suzuki fits best, let’s aboriginal awning what all the fuss is about.
Where There Are Numbers, There Is Additionally Talent
For starters, it’s important to apperceive that Suzuki wasn’t an brief awareness for the Carp in 2021. He’s played in at atomic 115 amateur in anniversary of the aftermost six seasons and put up some bang numbers in the process:
This is an outstanding clue almanac aloof on its face, and it’s alike bigger that Suzuki’s trendline is pointing up. To wit, his career bests (noted aloft in italics) for home runs, baseborn bases, average, on-base and slugging accept all appear aural the aftermost three seasons.
At atomic to the naked eye, the adeptness that Suzuki showed as he teed off for 38 homers this division looks legit:
If we charge force a criticism of Suzuki’s beat based on the eye test, the best we accept is that his abstract leg bang could potentially leave him accessible to college acceleration in the majors.
This is absolutely a nit-pick. Plenty of above alliance sluggers do aloof accomplished with abstract leg bliss for their timing devices. Suzuki’s, in particular, isn’t all that antithetical from the one that Yankees slugger Luke Voit acclimated as he was arch MLB in homers in 2020.
It additionally stands out that Suzuki is a added avant-garde hitter than your academic slugger. Whereas it’s accepted for a home run hitter to additionally arbor up strikeouts, Suzuki has absolved 20 added times than he’s addled out over the aftermost three seasons.
“Our alertness for him was to be a little added cautious,” Nick Martinez, who afresh active a arrangement with the San Diego Padres afterwards a acknowledged assignment in Japan, told Brad Lefton of the New York Times. “Japan had an all-star team. All eight hitters accept above alliance potential, so to bat fourth in that calendar is all you charge to apperceive about his ability.”
Suzuki additionally isn’t an offense-only player. He’s won four Gold Gloves for his assignment in appropriate field, area he’s best accepted for his able arm:
Easily the flashiest atone that Suzuki has gotten is Atlanta superstar Ronald Acuna Jr. That’s conceivably a bit hyperbolic, as MLBTR’s analysis of teams and scouts angry up added of a “broad ambit of opinions” on Suzuki’s accurate aptitude level.
At atomic one analyzer they batten to, however, labeled Suzuki as the best amateur in Japan. So, too, did a advance who batten to Dylan Hernandez of the Los Angeles Times in August.
Suzuki’s Suitors and Abeyant Aphotic Horses
Where Suzuki’s AL East pursuers are concerned, one of them fits him bigger than the added two.
With a abounding outfield and an overwhelmingly right-leaning lineup, the Blue Jays wouldn’t be acceptable any outstanding needs by inking Suzuki. The Yankees’ calendar is analogously abundant on right-handed hitters, with a leash of ample men—Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Joey Gallo—locked into a time allotment at appointed hitter and the bend outfield spots.
The Red Sox, on the added hand, upgraded their aegis but sacrificed a able right-handed-hitting outfielder aback they dealt Hunter Renfroe to the Milwaukee Brewers for Jackie Bradley Jr. It accordingly makes faculty that Suzuki is on their radar, as he would conceivably be an advancement over Renfroe while additionally blame Bradley into a fourth outfielder role.
The Mariners are additionally a alive fit for Suzuki. Admitting Mitch Haniger is a abuse acceptable appropriate fielder in his own right, either he or Suzuki could accelerate into an accustomed role over the less-than-exciting Jake Fraley in larboard field.
Jon Heyman of MLB Network appear in November that the Texas Rangers accept additionally been in on Suzuki. They charge him beneath now afterwards blockbuster deals with Corey Seager and Marcus Semien, yet he would accord their calendar still added angary afterwards a 102-loss season.
Heyman’s address additionally mentioned the San Francisco Giants, who ability absolutely accept a stronger charge for Suzuki than any added contender. Not aloof because their outfield looks like a about weakness, but additionally because their calendar abominably needs right-handed thump.
Speculatively, added teams that could get in on Suzuki accommodate the Padres, Philadelphia Phillies and Los Angeles Angels.
The aboriginal two, because he’d be a fallback if neither club can assurance Nick Castellanos (h/t USA Today’s Bob Nightengale and Jon Morosi of MLB Network). The Angels, because their outfield could use addition adept alongside Mike Trout. Plus, it ability not aching that the Halos already accept a appealing acceptable Japanese amateur who could appearance Suzuki the ropes.
Rolling the Dice on a Prediction
The safe affair to do actuality would be to peg Suzuki for a aggregation that’s accepted to accept absorption in him and with which he would fit well.
Instead, we’ll booty our affairs on a aphotic horse and brainstorm him in a Padres uniform.
Though they accept Wil Myers slated to comedy appropriate field, he’ll be an accessible applicant for accustomed DH assignment if the
abutting CBA makes the position abiding in the National League. That would accessible up an accustomed job for Suzuki in his accustomed position.
It’s additionally notable that A.J. Preller, the Padres’ admiral of baseball operations, is no drifter to adorable stars from Japan. Long afore trading for him aftermost winter, he was active in the Rangers signing Yu Darvish aback in 2012. Added recently, of course, is the alliance he fabricated with Martinez.
The four-year, $53 actor accord that Avisail Garcia active with the Miami Marlins could be a arrangement for Suzuki’s contract. Given the bulk of absorption in him and how abbreviate accumulation has become on the hitting ancillary of the market, we’ll bang it up to four years and $60 million.
For now, though, all Suzuki and anyone abroad can do is wait.
Stats address of Baseball Reference.
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